xgboost – XGBoost gradient-boosted trees (optional dependency).#

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Operational op under axis family, sub-layer L4_A_model_selection, layer l4. Standalone callable: mf.functions.xgboost_fit.

Function signature#

mf.functions.xgboost_fit(
    X: np.ndarray | pd.DataFrame,
    y: np.ndarray | pd.Series,
) -> XGBoostFitResult

Parameters#

name

type

default

constraint

description

X

`np.ndarray

pd.DataFrame`

y

`np.ndarray

pd.Series`

Returns#

XGBoostFitResult — frozen dataclass with fit results.

Attribute

Type

Description

.feature_importances_

np.ndarray

Feature importances (gain-based) from XGBoost, shape (n_features,).

.n_estimators_used

int

Number of boosting rounds (= n_estimators parameter).

.predict(X)

np.ndarray

Predictions for new data X, shape (n_samples,).

.summary()

str

Human-readable table of fit results including top-3 feature importances.

Behavior#

Requires pip install macroforecast[xgboost]. Histogram-based tree construction; native quantile loss; GPU support. Standard production-grade boosting library.

When to use

Production sweeps where xgboost’s speed matters; quantile forecasting (xgb 2.0+).

When NOT to use

Lightweight installs (no extra installed) – raises ImportError.

In recipe context#

Set params.family = "xgboost" in the relevant layer to activate this op within a recipe:

# Layer L4 recipe fragment
params:
  family: xgboost

References#

  • macroforecast design Part 2, L4: ‘forecasting model is the layer where every authoring iteration ends – pick family, tune, repeat.’

  • Chen & Guestrin (2016) ‘XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System’, KDD.